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NeuralBetTHE UNIVERSAL GUIDE
NEURALBET / THE GUIDE

Every question,
its own chapter.

← Back to the opening13 chapters · Explore at your own pace
DATA. ANALYSIS. ADVANTAGE.2026
NeuralBet

Arbitrage on
prediction
markets.

Discover how it works
NeuralBetPrediction markets
01 / 13

A prediction market is a bet on the future.

Thousands of people bet on anything that might happen. In these examples, each question has two answers: YES or NO.

Weather

Tomorrow, over 17 °C in Paris?

Answer: tomorrow evening

64%chance of YES,
according to the market
Election

Will the incumbent president be re-elected?

Answer: on election night

47%chance of YES,
according to the market
Bitcoin

In 15 minutes, bitcoin higher than at the start?

Answer: in 15 minutes

51%chance of YES,
according to the market
Football

Will France win its next match?

Answer: at the final whistle

Draw = NO
58%chance of YES,
according to the market

Prices and probabilities move with every purchase and every sale. NeuralBet looks for price gaps between platforms: that's arbitrage, on the next page.

NeuralBetArbitrage
02 / 13

It doesn't predict. It arbitrages.

It buys YES on one platform and NO on the other: whatever the answer, one of the two tickets pays $1. Each ticket costs its percentage (48% = 48¢), and prices differ from one platform to the other.

Bitcoin, higher in 15 minutes? The same question, on both.

Blockchain marketplace, in digital dollars

Live prices
YES48¢1
NO52¢

YES + NO = $1.00

US exchange licensed by the CFTC, the markets regulator

Live prices
YES51¢
NO49¢2

YES + NO = $1.00

The algorithm takes each answer where it costs the least:

1YES ticketon Polymarket48¢
2NO ticketon Kalshi49¢
Paid for bothin this example; sometimes 96¢ or 95¢. Above 97¢, the algorithm doesn't buy.97¢

If bitcoin goes up,
the YES ticket wins

$1.00

If bitcoin goes down,
the NO ticket wins

$1.00
Paid97¢→Received$1.00=Per pair, before fees+3¢

Example for one trade300 pairs here: the algorithm buys as many as the platforms offer at that price, up to its cap.

300 pairs × 97¢ = $291+$5.25 in fees=$296.25 paid→300 × $1 = $300 received=+$3.75

The gain is calculated before buying, fees included: if nothing is left, the algorithm doesn't buy. Kalshi and Polymarket are named for description only: NeuralBet trades there and is not affiliated with them.

NeuralBetThe algorithm
03 / 13

What the algorithm does, and how often

Five steps, on a loop, all day long. The fourth only fires if the first three are green.

1

Watch

Prices, on both platforms

2

Match

Same deadline, same resolution rules

3

Compute

The spread must reach 3%

4

Execute

Both orders, coordinated

5

Report

Every trade, line by line

A typical day: 96 quarter-hours68 used

Unused quarter-hours are skipped on purpose: the spread didn't reach 3%. Depending on the day, 50 to 80 of the 96 slots are used; one slot can hold several trades.

What makes this pace possible
18 monthsof development, with a dedicated team
≈ $1Minvested in the execution infrastructure
As close as it getsservers installed next to those of both platforms
92 msannounced execution window
$50Mof current capacity

Speed decides. Spotting a spread is only useful if both tickets are bought immediately afterwards.

An observed pace, not a promised return:
it varies every day and cannot be projected.

NeuralBetSafeguards
04 / 13

The safeguards, point by point

Market direction changes nothing: everything comes down to execution. Here are the four risks to know before depositing, and what limits them.

What doesn't affect us Market direction Volatility The time we enter
The risk

Fees above the spread

The answer

Minimum 3% spread, fees calculated before every order

The risk

Only one of the two tickets bought

The answer

Orders sent together; a ticket left alone is sold back immediately, sometimes at a small loss

The risk

Different answer depending on the platform

The answer

Same rules, same deadline, same resolution sources, otherwise no pair

The risk

Liquidity, network or outage

The answer

Cap per trade, automatic stop

And if something still went off-script
Anomaly detected Algorithm halted Human review Restart after correction

Four risks, four automatic responses, applied before every order. These safeguards reduce the risks without removing them: what remains at stake is the speed between the two purchases, and that is precisely what the infrastructure was built for.

Capital and gains are not guaranteed.
Eligibility and access vary by country.

NeuralBetThe team
05 / 13

Who builds NeuralBet

Crypto on the product side, markets on the execution side.

Pierre Lavarague

Pierre Lavarague

Co-founder · NeuralBet
  • Web3 Director at Bitpanda, MiCA-licensed European platform (2025-2026)
  • Head of Business Development at Trust Wallet (Binance), 2022-2025
  • Advisor at Kiln and Mobula, former advisor to Morpho, speaker at NFT Paris
Web3 Wallets Distribution
Lucas Caporgno

Lucas Caporgno

Co-founder · NeuralBet
  • Founder of Winastar
  • Fund manager overseeing $90 million
  • Expert in online gaming and its markets
Dubai Fund management Online gaming

Together: someone who knows how to build a crypto product people use every day, and someone who knows what execution on real markets demands.

Backgrounds as presented by the team.

NeuralBetThe app
06 / 13

In practice, how it works

Everything lives in Telegram. Nothing to install, nothing to set up.

Translated illustration. No real account; the interface may differ.

1

You open NeuralBet

The app runs in Telegram: open the link your sponsor sends you.

2

You deposit

In crypto (USDC or USDT) or by bank card. The starting minimum depends on your group: your sponsor confirms it. You can test a small withdrawal first.

3

You follow

The algorithm is already running. You open NeuralBet and see your gains live.

No app to download. NeuralBet lives in Telegram, which you already have; the dashboard opens in the same window. Secure your Telegram account before your first deposit: the Telegram guide shows you how.

NeuralBetThe dashboard
07 / 13

What you see, trade by trade

Every arbitrage shows up with its date, amount and result. You can check every figure.

NeuralBet dashboard
Balance and success rate
The curve

It climbs in small steps. One step = one completed trade.

Each line

A completed arbitrage, with its gain: often a few cents, dozens of times a day.

At the top of the screen

Balance, committed funds, net result, and over 97% of arbitrages closed with a gain: 99.9% currently displayed. The rest: a ticket left alone, sold back immediately for a few cents; the proportion varies from day to day.

Stakes of a few dollars

The engine splits the capital into dozens of simultaneous trades: each line commits $4 or $5, where our examples commit $296.

Good to know: the success rate counts winning trades, not their amount.

NeuralBetYour money
08 / 13

Your money, in practice

Where it is, how it gets out, and how you check it. The three questions everyone asks before depositing.

1

Where it is

In your NeuralBet account, in USDC, a digital dollar, 1 USDC = $1. The funds are held by Winastar (Dubai) in a secure multi-signature vault: no movement without several signatures. You can see your balance, the committed amount and your gains at any time.

2

How it gets out

Crypto deposits: Whenever you want. Withdrawal in USDC on Polygon, to your own wallet, within a few hours. No lock-up period, no exit fees. You can test a first withdrawal from day one. The amount credited by card and the associated gains can be withdrawn after 30 days.

3

How you check

Every deposit and every withdrawal has its Polygonscan link: the transaction can be checked on the blockchain, independently of the app. In the app, every arbitrage is listed line by line, with its gain and the amount committed.

And always No performance is guaranteed Eligibility and access vary by country The Support button reaches the NeuralBet team

Three questions, three short answers: the ones everyone asks anyway before depositing.

NeuralBetDeposit & withdraw
09 / 13

Deposit and withdraw

The amount is up to you. The starting minimum depends on your group: your sponsor confirms it.

Your bankYour local currency
Your wallet or ether.fiConversion and transfer
Your NeuralBet accountBalance in USDC

Deposit

Crypto: 0% feesUSDC (Polygon or Ethereum ERC20) or USDT (ERC20)
Bank card: 3% fees · added to the paymentVisa or Mastercard, credited within minutes of validation
No maximumThe amount is up to you

Withdraw

From $5, 0% feesExcluding your wallet or conversion fees
Received within a few hoursIn USDC on Polygon, to your wallet
No maximumCrypto deposits: No lock-up period
How does payment by bank card work?

Payment by card currently involves purchasing an artificial intelligence training course from Académie IA, for an amount corresponding to the amount you wish to credit to Neural. Card fees of 3% are added to the price of the training course. The total paid includes these fees, while the Neural credit remains equal to the price of the course.

Once the payment has been validated, you receive access to your training course and Neural credits your account with the same amount within the next few minutes, so you can start arbitrage.

You therefore receive both the training course and the equivalent credit in your Neural account.

The amount credited in this way and the associated gains can be withdrawn after 30 days.

Who does whatTelegram the interfaceNeuralBet the arbitragesWinastar custody of funds, multi-signature vaultether.fi conversion, optional

Verifiable at any time: your balance in NeuralBet, your transfers on the blockchain. Need help converting? ether.fi guide · Binance P2P (Morocco)

Capital and gains are not guaranteed.
Eligibility and access vary by country.

NeuralBetThe split
10 / 13

The split, line by line

The gain after execution fees is split into three fixed shares. The client takes half.

THE CLIENT50%

In proportion to their stake

THE REFERRAL NETWORK35%

Four referral levels
35% ÷ 4 = 8.75% per level

THE COMPANY15%

Management margin

An example
Gain after fees$10.00
→
The client$5.00
The network$3.504 × $0.875
The company$1.50
Never paid by the client Entry fee Exit fee Subscription Deduction from the stake

Performance pays the network, never the client. The network's and the company's shares come out of the gain after fees: without a gain there's nothing to split, and nobody gets paid.

NeuralBetTrack record
11 / 13

The results, month after month

Net returns published by Neural Bet, after fees and without compounding. Figures read live from the official website.

Cumulative return
+124.12%
 
Positive days
202 / 206
98.1% of days
Negative days
4
published as they are
Largest drawdown
−0.28%
from the highest point reached
Monthly returns
Reading the official website…
Daily results
Negative dayPositive day, from weakest to strongest

Source: official website neural-bet.com, net figures published by Neural Bet.

Past performance does not guarantee future results. Capital can go down.

NeuralBetSimulator
12 / 13

Run your numbers

Set your assumptions and the maths updates live. Client Space projects your net gains; Partner Space your network income.

View the result
01

Your assumptions

Adjust the parameters at your own pace.

Your capital
USD
Amount and conditions

The simulator starts at $3,000. Deposits and withdrawals are available in crypto (USDC); the actual minimum capital varies by region. Check the applicable conditions.

Net monthly return 10.0%
Understanding this assumption

An assumption you set, not a given: the net share that comes back to you on your capital, every month. Paid out daily.

Duration
Gains
02

Your projection

Results update in real time.

Edit ↑
Net gains over 12 months
+ 6 415 $
Capital over time — gains kept   - - gains withdrawn
Day 0Day 180Day 360

Indicative conversions from the source document: exchange rates from September 9–10, 2026, and fixed currency pegs.

A projection is not a promise. The amounts shown depend on the assumptions you enter; they are neither a commitment to results nor investment advice.

NeuralBet
13 / 13

Get started in 5 steps

Opening takes a few minutes. Identity verification and transfers have their own timelines.

1

Open the link

The one your sponsor sends you

2

Start

In Telegram, tap Start

3

Accept

Read and accept the terms of use

4

Open the app

Launch the NeuralBet mini-app

5

Deposit

In crypto or by card. Minimum confirmed by your sponsor

Crypto deposits: Withdraw whenever you want, in USDC, within a few hours. Your sponsor remains your contact. The amount credited by card and the associated gains can be withdrawn after 30 days.

Official website neural-bet.com · Only official support @neuralbetsupport: beware of fake accounts.

The market can go up or down: the gain is estimated before committing,
and half of the gain after fees is yours. A loss is still possible.

Eligibility and access vary by country. No performance is guaranteed.

NeuralBet presentation

Deck teaser · English

Watch here and choose your audio level.